446 Days and Counting: Recession Signal Fails to Predict Economic Downturn For 446 days, the bond market’s yield curve inversion, often seen as a recession predictor, has not resulted in an economic downturn. Historically, a normal yield curve shows higher long-term rates compared to short-term ones, indicating economic optimism. However, since July 5, 2022, the 2-year Treasury yield has consistently exceeded the 10-year rate, primarily due to aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation. This condition matches the length of a similar inversion from 1978 to 1980 but has yet to lead to the anticipated recession. « Previous Article Next Article » Share This Article Choose Your Platform: Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Related Posts UAE Halts Operations at 32 Gold Refineries to Combat Money Laundering READ MORE Silver Prices Dip as Prospects of Early Fed Rate Cuts Diminish READ MORE Gold plummets to near $2,400 as profit-booking kicks in, US Dollar advances READ MORE ING Gold Monthly: The Bull Run Isn't Over Yet READ MORE Economic Reality Check: Six Figures Not Enough for Middle-Class Comfort? READ MORE Add a Comment Cancel replyYour email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *Name * Email * Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Comment