Economists Question the Recession-Predicting Power of the Inverted Yield Curve The inverted yield curve, historically a harbinger of recessions, is losing its clout as a predictive tool, suggest the insights from a recent Reuters poll of market strategists. Traditionally, a negative spread between 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields has been viewed as a strong indicator of impending economic downturns, with a near-perfect track record since 1955, failing only once. However, despite an inversion lasting over 20 months and a current discrepancy of 46 basis points, the conversation among experts has shifted towards a lesser likelihood of a recession or even potential economic growth. « Previous Article Next Article » Share This Article Choose Your Platform: Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Related Posts Goldman still bullish on gold, China underpinning demand outlook By Investing.com READ MORE India's Gold Demand Eases Post-Festival, Prices Remain Strong READ MORE Gold and Bitcoin: Vital Challengers to Fiat Currencies READ MORE Investor Focus on Fed's Rate Strategy Boosts Gold During Rising Inflation READ MORE Global Recession Odds are 50/50 Citigroup Warns READ MORE Add a Comment Cancel replyYour email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *Name * Email * Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Comment