446 Days and Counting: Recession Signal Fails to Predict Economic Downturn For 446 days, the bond market’s yield curve inversion, often seen as a recession predictor, has not resulted in an economic downturn. Historically, a normal yield curve shows higher long-term rates compared to short-term ones, indicating economic optimism. However, since July 5, 2022, the 2-year Treasury yield has consistently exceeded the 10-year rate, primarily due to aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation. This condition matches the length of a similar inversion from 1978 to 1980 but has yet to lead to the anticipated recession. « Previous Article Next Article » Share This Article Choose Your Platform: Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Related Posts U.S. Recession Risk Drops to 20%, Goldman Sachs Reports READ MORE Zimbabwe's ZiG: ZiG Used to Pay for 40% of Transactions READ MORE Interactive Analysis: Has Your Pay Kept Up With Inflation? READ MORE China's Gold Demand Lags Behind Global Trends in August READ MORE Fed's Current Economic Outlook and the Latest Rate Cut Speculations READ MORE Add a Comment Cancel replyYour email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *Name * Email * Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Comment